Poland Economy Watch: May 2007

Thursday, May 24, 2007

EU 8 Health Worker Migrant Intentions

From:

Labour Mobility in the Enlarged European Union: International Migration from the EU8 countries it is possible to speculate that Polish emigrants substituted other destination countries for Germany with the new possibilities that arose upon accession to the EU (Fihel, 2006).

What is Poland Economy Watch?

Poland Economy Watch is a weblog dedicated to following the day to day progress of the Polish economy. The Weblog arose out of my curiosity about the roots of the particular mix of economic problems which Poland is facing, and about what might be learnt from studying these as they evolve.

Poland is faced with a historically unprecedented combination of structural problems stemming from an extraordinarily high inward flow of funds (producing excessive consumer demand) accompanied by an equally high outflow of labour (creating insufficient labour supply). The impact of the migration outflow is further aggravated by the low number of young labour market entrants which can be anticipated over the coming years following the collapse in fertility and live births post 1990.

The issue is further complicated by the fact that the Polish economy needs to generate very rapid "catch up" growth if Poland is to become rich before she becomes old, and thus achieve a standard of living which will make supporting the increasing number of elderly dependents both viable and sustainable.

Needless to say none of these problems were ever really contemplated in the economic text books. Dealing with this whole problem set - and it is one which in one way or another is typical of what we may expect to see across Eastern Europe as a whole - has become a most pressing concern, both theoretically and practically.

A great deal more background and information about the theoretical perspective which informs this blog may be found over at the Demography Matters
blog.

About

Edward 'the bonobo' is a Catalan economist of British extraction based in Barcelona. By inclination he is a macro economist, but his obsession with trying to understand the economic impact of demographic changes has often taken him far from home, off and away from the more tranquil and placid pastures of the dismal science, into the bracken and thicket of demography, anthropology, biology, sociology and systems theory. All of which has lead him to ask himself whether Thomas Wolfe was not in fact right when he asserted that the fact of the matter is "you can never go home again".

He is currently working on a book with the provisional working title "Population, the Ultimate Non-renewable Resource".

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Thursday, May 24, 2007

EU 8 Health Worker Migrant Intentions

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